Figure 5.5 shows the traffic layout for Boat Name Lanes. Approximately 60% of the traffic that leaves from this trafficshed embark for the bay, fishing flats, or north along the ICW, presumably through the northern channel as this is the most direct route and is adequately deep to allow unrestricted passage for all the boats in the trafficshed. The remaining portion of the traffic (roughly 40%) embarks for destinations that are either in the southernmost part of the bay, or destinations which require using New Pass or Big Sarasota Pass.
There is a high variability in the numbers and kinds of boats that embark in each simulated run. For this reason, it must be understood that exact or highly precise reporting of the results would only be meaningful in the context of a particular run; rounding of numbers is needed to draw any generalizations or inferences from the results of these runs. This variation is even more pronounced in Bird Key (figure 5.6). Bird Key is a complex system to begin with, and in the strictest definition of a trafficshed, it could be considered to be five or more separate source areas. However, the canal networks that comprise the trafficshed share essentially three entry/exit points at the southern, northeastern, and eastern edges of the island.
Bird Key is a dredge-and-fill island system: the area was occupied by
shallow seagrass beds and mangrove islands prior to its development
before 1970.
Most of
the land was created by dredging material from neighboring areas to
convert the mangrove islands to a large area of compacted soil
suitable for a housing development. This history accounts for the
shape of the island, with its straight shoreline and canals, deep
channels immediately adjacent to the shoreline, and a shallower ridge
surrounding the island where side-cast spoil is deposited. If one
were to view the island from the air with the water drained from the
bay, this ridge would appear as a ring around the island (figure
5.7). This ridge ranges from 2 to 8 feet below the
water, and can be an impediment to boat traffic where it is shallower
than the draft of the boat. In the simulations, as boats were
choosing the ``least cost'' route from their origin to their
destination, the ridge was crossed wherever the most direct path could
be achieved while avoiding areas shallower than its draft. This
resulted in path diverging where boats first leave from their docks,
and choose two or more paths around shallow seagrass beds. The paths
converge once the shallower areas are circumnavigated; these
convergence areas define the three man exit points that are mentioned
above.
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In the simulated runs, most of the boat traffic (about 60%) embarked
for destinations towards the north via the ICW. A smaller portion
embarked towards the south along the ICW, which exited Bird Key via
the east. An even smaller portion (typically 10%) left for the gulf
or Siesta Key via the south. These boats traced paths around the
shallow seagrass bed at the southwest end of the island, and converged
as they headed out Big Pass (figure
5.8).